STRC hits $100 by…
The conditions, incentives and evidence that could shape the answer.STRC hits $100 by: the question behind the price
This is a price-touch test for STRC, not a test of its dividend rate or of Bitcoin’s own price. A qualifying high need not be the session’s closing price. In the snapshot checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC, the focus outcome, December 31, was quoted at 85.5%. [1]
High and close are separate fields. [3] A price can reach a level and then reverse. That path may satisfy a touch contract while failing a closing-price test. Our interpretation is that the relevant evidence is the specified exchange record and time window; a broad bullish or bearish story cannot substitute for that measurement.
The observation matters as much as the target
Requires a finalized one-minute STRC high of at least $100 on TradingView within the focus window. If relevant data are missing at the deadline, the ordered fallbacks are Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, then MarketWatch, followed by available data. [2]
The practical implication for December 31 is to distinguish necessary conditions from supporting clues. A plausible explanation can help identify what to investigate, but the outcome still turns on evidence satisfying the specified test. Evaluate the precise price event and deadline; keep it separate from a general view about the asset’s long-term value.
What the other prices and the trading record reveal
The complementary No quote is 14.5%, against 85.5% for Yes. This shows the balance of quoted expectations for this exact condition. It does not reveal how many independent people hold either view or identify which news caused the price. [1]
This event recorded $1.19 million in cumulative turnover across its life. The captured record contains 1 eligible open constituent contract. Those are the scope of this snapshot, not a count of independent forecasters. [1]
The next evidence that would change the assessment
For this event, watch the exact exchange, pair and candle interval in the rules; whether the test uses a high, low, open or close; the remaining observation window and finalized historical data. [2]
The next meaningful update is evidence about the required milestone or measurement. A changed quote by itself does not identify what happened or why. Verified prices moving toward the required level, with enough time left in the observation window, would support the scenario. The threshold remaining unvisited before the deadline, or a crossing only on an excluded feed, can defeat the condition. A later reversal does not undo an already qualifying touch.
WEIGH BOTH SIDES
What would change the outlook?
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
Quoted market evidence: Oct 4, 2026, 09:57 UTC. The live market panel may show a newer observation.
Verified prices moving toward the required level, with enough time left in the observation window, would support the scenario. [2]
The threshold remaining unvisited before the deadline, or a crossing only on an excluded feed, can defeat the condition. A later reversal does not undo an already qualifying touch. [2]
The next signals to watch
The observed 85.5% quote is the captured market expectation for December 31. Publicly known conditions alone do not establish that this price is too high or too low. [1]
Evaluate the precise price event and deadline; keep it separate from a general view about the asset’s long-term value.
A FEW GOOD QUESTIONS
What else should you know?
STRC hits $100 by?
The selected condition, December 31, was priced at 85.5% when checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. This is a price-touch test for STRC, not a test of its dividend rate or of Bitcoin’s own price. A qualifying high need not be the session’s closing price. [1]
What evidence would be decisive for this particular outcome?
The key observations are the exact exchange, pair and candle interval in the rules; whether the test uses a high, low, open or close; the remaining observation window and finalized historical data. The full linked contract governs exceptions. [2]
Does this market price prove the event will happen?
No. 85.5% describes the quoted focus condition in a dated snapshot. It is not a verified forecast, an official result or evidence that all participants independently evaluated the same information. [1]
CHECK THE EVIDENCE
Sources & further reading
- Polymarket: STRC hits $100 by… — observed event and constituent prices ↗polymarket.com
- Polymarket: Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? — exact resolution rules ↗polymarket.com
- Binance: Candlestick data documentation ↗developers.binance.com
Published . AI-assisted, source-linked analysis. We distinguish evidence from interpretation; this article does not establish a trading edge. How we work →
