Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The conditions, incentives and evidence that could shape the answer.The detail that changes the question
A film can accumulate nominations across acting, craft and other categories without winning Best Picture. This contract rewards that breadth at the nomination stage, not success on ceremony night.
The contract counts each film’s nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, including nominations associated with its cast and crew. An exact tie is broken alphabetically. [2]
What the current price does—and does not—show
The API snapshot on October 4, 2026 priced Yes at 81.5% for “Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?”. The parent event had $199,093 in cumulative volume. That volume includes trading across the event; it is not a count of distinct people and does not establish the probability of this one contract. [1][2]
Watch the Academy’s official nomination list and count the eligible nominations consistently, including multiple nominations within a category where allowed. Another open contract in the same event, “Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?”, was quoted at 18.85% for Yes. Check whether these conditions are mutually exclusive before comparing or combining their prices. [1]
Where the position can go wrong
A clear lead in one prestigious category can mask limited support elsewhere. Winning many trophies later does not retroactively add nominations.
The event concerns the 2027 nomination announcement; the rules provide a June 30, 2027, 11:59 p.m. Eastern fallback if it does not occur. [2]
The evidence that would change the reading
Watch the Academy’s official nomination list and count the eligible nominations consistently, including multiple nominations within a category where allowed.
The useful question is whether the available evidence meets this test: The contract counts each film’s nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, including nominations associated with its cast and crew. An exact tie is broken alphabetically. A confident story without that connection leaves the central condition unproved. [2]
WEIGH BOTH SIDES
What would change the outlook?
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Quoted market evidence: Oct 4, 2026, 09:57 UTC. The live market panel may show a newer observation.
Watch the Academy’s official nomination list and count the eligible nominations consistently, including multiple nominations within a category where allowed. A Yes case needs evidence that the qualifying condition is or will be met within its window.
A clear lead in one prestigious category can mask limited support elsewhere. Winning many trophies later does not retroactively add nominations.
The next signals to watch
- Watch the Academy’s official nomination list and count the eligible nominations consistently, including multiple nominations within a category where allowed.
- The event concerns the 2027 nomination announcement; the rules provide a June 30, 2027, 11:59 p.m. Eastern fallback if it does not occur.
- A change to the exact contract’s rules, resolution status or current executable price. [2]
The dated Yes quote was 81.5%. That is a market-implied price for this question, not an independently estimated fair probability. [2]
The contract counts each film’s nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, including nominations associated with its cast and crew. An exact tie is broken alphabetically. We do not establish a price advantage from the quote alone. [2]
A FEW GOOD QUESTIONS
What else should you know?
What exactly does this market resolve on?
The contract counts each film’s nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, including nominations associated with its cast and crew. An exact tie is broken alphabetically. [2]
What is the deadline or observation window?
The event concerns the 2027 nomination announcement; the rules provide a June 30, 2027, 11:59 p.m. Eastern fallback if it does not occur. [2]
What should I check before choosing a position?
Watch the Academy’s official nomination list and count the eligible nominations consistently, including multiple nominations within a category where allowed. Then compare the current contract price with your own evidence-based assessment; this article does not identify a guaranteed or recommended trade.
CHECK THE EVIDENCE
Sources & further reading
- Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? — event and complete rules ↗polymarket.com
- Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? — exact contract ↗polymarket.com
- Academy: rules approved for the 99th Oscars ↗press.oscars.org
Published . AI-assisted, source-linked analysis. We distinguish evidence from interpretation; this article does not establish a trading edge. How we work →
