First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
The conditions, incentives and evidence that could shape the answer.First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET: the question behind the price
This is a first-arrival race using FDV, not circulating market capitalization. The tokens have different assigned providers, and the rules do not adjust away methodological differences. In the snapshot checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC, the focus outcome, Artificial Inu (AI), was quoted at 11.5%. [1]
FDV values the complete supply. [3] The token with the largest valuation at year-end need not be the first to cross this boundary. Our interpretation is that provider timestamps and each token’s assigned valuation source must be compared carefully, because the race preserves the first qualifying crossing.
The first valid crossing decides the race
Uses the first listed token to reach at least $1 billion FDV on its designated CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap source before December 25, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. A momentary verified crossing counts; same-minute crossings favor the larger FDV. No crossing resolves None. [2]
The practical implication for Artificial Inu (AI) is to distinguish necessary conditions from supporting clues. A plausible explanation can help identify what to investigate, but the outcome still turns on evidence satisfying the specified test. Compare first qualifying arrivals using FDV, not later market-cap rankings or token prices.
What the other prices and the trading record reveal
Another open condition, Cash Cat (CASHCAT), is priced at 3.5%, a 8.00-percentage-point difference from Artificial Inu (AI). Thresholds can be nested: satisfying a harder threshold can also satisfy an easier one. Their prices must therefore be interpreted as separate conditions, not vote shares that automatically sum to 100%. [1]
This event recorded $363,144 in cumulative turnover across its life. The captured record contains 5 eligible open constituent contracts. Those are the scope of this snapshot, not a count of independent forecasters. [1]
The next evidence that would change the assessment
For this event, watch each token’s designated provider and qualifying FDV; the timestamp of the first valid crossing; same-minute and no-crossing fallback rules. [2]
The next meaningful update is evidence about the required milestone or measurement. A changed quote by itself does not identify what happened or why. The focus token reaching the required FDV on its designated provider before every rival would support its outcome. A rival arriving first, an excluded provider’s value or no qualifying crossing before the deadline can defeat the selected outcome.
WEIGH BOTH SIDES
What would change the outlook?
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
Quoted market evidence: Oct 4, 2026, 09:57 UTC. The live market panel may show a newer observation.
The focus token reaching the required FDV on its designated provider before every rival would support its outcome. [2]
A rival arriving first, an excluded provider’s value or no qualifying crossing before the deadline can defeat the selected outcome. [2]
The next signals to watch
The observed 11.5% quote is the captured market expectation for Artificial Inu (AI). Publicly known conditions alone do not establish that this price is too high or too low. [1]
Compare first qualifying arrivals using FDV, not later market-cap rankings or token prices.
A FEW GOOD QUESTIONS
What else should you know?
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
The selected condition, Artificial Inu (AI), was priced at 11.5% when checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. This is a first-arrival race using FDV, not circulating market capitalization. The tokens have different assigned providers, and the rules do not adjust away methodological differences. [1]
What evidence would be decisive for this particular outcome?
The key observations are each token’s designated provider and qualifying FDV; the timestamp of the first valid crossing; same-minute and no-crossing fallback rules. The full linked contract governs exceptions. [2]
Does this market price prove the event will happen?
No. 11.5% describes the quoted focus condition in a dated snapshot. It is not a verified forecast, an official result or evidence that all participants independently evaluated the same information. [1]
CHECK THE EVIDENCE
Sources & further reading
- Polymarket: First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET? — observed event and constituent prices ↗polymarket.com
- Polymarket: Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? — exact resolution rules ↗polymarket.com
- CoinGecko: Fully Diluted Valuation ↗coingecko.com
Published . AI-assisted, source-linked analysis. We distinguish evidence from interpretation; this article does not establish a trading edge. How we work →
