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61 stories

Companies & IPOsClear filter ×

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026: what the AI leaderboard can establish

A leaderboard can identify a winner under its own evaluation procedure without identifying the best system for every user or task.

3 min read·$130.7K traded

Will Tesla release Optimus by: when a product becomes a qualifying release

This contract is about consumer ordering, not how many robots work inside Tesla facilities. Paid public preorders can qualify before broad household adoption.

3 min read·$129.8K traded

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026: what an exam score says about AI progress

A result on a difficult academic benchmark is evidence about that test, not a direct measurement of every kind of useful intelligence.

3 min read·$129K traded

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027: the mission milestone that actually counts

The surprising detail is that this is an announcement test about the upper stage. It does not demand an observed second flight of the same vehicle.

3 min read·$123.1K traded

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap (December 31, 2027): offer value versus first-day close

A company can be valuable, raise private money or prepare documents without completing the public-market milestone in this question.

4 min read·$122.2K traded

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026: what being most searched would mean

A search ranking can reflect curiosity, controversy or a sudden event. It does not measure whether people like the subject.

3 min read·$121K traded

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026: what being most searched would mean

A search ranking can reflect curiosity, controversy or a sudden event. It does not measure whether people like the subject.

3 min read·$119.3K traded

What will Anthropic's public ticker be: the official symbol and its fallback conditions

A ticker prediction is a branding and listing-document question, not a forecast of the company’s valuation. Share-class suffixes can look different while representing the same outcome.

3 min read·$116.5K traded

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026: what an exam score says about AI progress

A result on a difficult academic benchmark is evidence about that test, not a direct measurement of every kind of useful intelligence.

3 min read·$112.7K traded

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be: the difference between plans, listing and valuation

This measures the offering valuation, not the first stock-market trade. The final prospectus and full dilution convention can make the number differ from a headline based only on common shares.

3 min read·$106.9K traded

Will Stripe's valuation hit what level by December 31: which valuation evidence actually counts

This is a specified private-market data-series test, not a general contest between financing headlines. A company can announce an impressive transaction without that consideration being the value the contract accepts.

3 min read·$102.3K traded

Will Anduril's valuation hit what level by December 31: which valuation evidence actually counts

3 min read·$101.3K traded

Showing 49–60 of 61 stories