Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

The question and its conditions

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

The description above comes from the event’s source. This page is a market snapshot; a researched Outlook analysis has not been published for this event.

How to read the market

Each quoted percentage is an implied probability from a particular contract’s trading price. Different outcomes may have different conditions or deadlines. Do not add percentages together unless those contracts cover mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.

High volume measures trading attention. It does not establish that a forecast is correct. Check the resolution wording, the deadline and the liquidity alongside the headline price.