# Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by: index membership versus exchange listing Index eligibility and exchange listing are different things. A company could continue trading normally while an index provider changes the basket in which it is included. Canonical article: https://www.homeincomelab.com/stories/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31 Publisher: The Outlook By: The Outlook editorial desk Category: Crypto Analysis as of: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z Decision guide market prices observed: 2026-10-04T09:57:48.323Z Published: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z ## Quick answer “Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31” was quoted at 69% on October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. Index eligibility and exchange listing are different things. The linked rules decide the result; this dated quote is not confirmation. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) ## Key takeaways - December 31: 69% in the dated research snapshot. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) - Index eligibility and exchange listing are different things. A company could continue trading normally while an index provider changes the basket in which it is included. - Name the exact index and official action; do not confuse benchmark removal with losing exchange access. ## Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by: the question behind the price Index eligibility and exchange listing are different things. A company could continue trading normally while an index provider changes the basket in which it is included. In the snapshot checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC, the focus outcome, December 31, was quoted at 69%. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) Official filings document corporate actions. [3](https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/) A benchmark is a defined basket rather than the exchange on which a company’s shares trade. Our interpretation is that an index-rule change can matter to investors who track that basket without establishing that the company has lost its stock-exchange listing. ## The index provider’s notice is the decisive record Requires an official MSCI announcement removing MicroStrategy from MSCI World or MSCI USA by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. Transfer to a different MSCI index also counts as removal from the specified index. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) The practical implication for December 31 is to distinguish necessary conditions from supporting clues. A plausible explanation can help identify what to investigate, but the outcome still turns on evidence satisfying the specified test. Name the exact index and official action; do not confuse benchmark removal with losing exchange access. ## What the other prices and the trading record reveal The complementary No quote is 31%, against 69% for Yes. This shows the balance of quoted expectations for this exact condition. It does not reveal how many independent people hold either view or identify which news caused the price. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) This event recorded $1.21 million in cumulative turnover across its life. The captured record contains 1 eligible open constituent contract. Those are the scope of this snapshot, not a count of independent forecasters. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) ## The next evidence that would change the assessment For this event, watch MSCI’s official review and constituent notices; whether MSCI World or MSCI USA is affected; the announcement date and treatment of transfers to another MSCI index. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) The next meaningful update is evidence about the required milestone or measurement. A changed quote by itself does not identify what happened or why. The specified official MSCI removal announcement within the deadline would support Yes. A consultation, removal from an unlisted index or an unrelated exchange-listing headline would not establish the condition. ## A fact worth knowing The latest 24-hour turnover, $688, was 0.06% of this event’s lifetime total. Lifetime volume and current trading activity can therefore tell different stories. Source: [Polymarket: Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...? — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) ## Weighing the outcome ### Outcome in focus Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? ### Supporting case The specified official MSCI removal announcement within the deadline would support Yes. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) ### Challenging case A consultation, removal from an unlisted index or an unrelated exchange-listing headline would not establish the condition. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) ### What to watch - MSCI’s official review and constituent notices. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) - Whether MSCI World or MSCI USA is affected. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) - The announcement date and treatment of transfers to another MSCI index. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) ### What may already be priced in The observed 69% quote is the captured market expectation for December 31. Publicly known conditions alone do not establish that this price is too high or too low. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) ### Assessment Name the exact index and official action; do not confuse benchmark removal with losing exchange access. ## How the market resolves Requires an official MSCI announcement removing MicroStrategy from MSCI World or MSCI USA by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. Transfer to a different MSCI index also counts as removal from the specified index. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) ## Timing and deadline The focus contract uses December 31, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. US Eastern time. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) ## Questions and answers ### Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by? The selected condition, December 31, was priced at 69% when checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. Index eligibility and exchange listing are different things. A company could continue trading normally while an index provider changes the basket in which it is included. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) ### What evidence would be decisive for this particular outcome? The key observations are MSCI’s official review and constituent notices; whether MSCI World or MSCI USA is affected; the announcement date and treatment of transfers to another MSCI index. The full linked contract governs exceptions. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) ### Does this market price prove the event will happen? No. 69% describes the quoted focus condition in a dated snapshot. It is not a verified forecast, an official result or evidence that all participants independently evaluated the same information. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) ## Related market contracts - [Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) ## Market source [View the event on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) For timestamped market prices, see the canonical HTML article. Prices can change independently of this analysis. ## Sources and further reading 1. [Polymarket: Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...? — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31) 2. [Polymarket: Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? — exact resolution rules](https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31/microstrategy-delisted-from-msci-index-by-december-31) 3. [SEC: EDGAR company filings](https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/) This is AI-assisted, source-linked explanatory journalism. We distinguish facts from interpretation and revise material errors. [How we work](https://www.homeincomelab.com/methodology) · [Corrections and contact](https://www.homeincomelab.com/contact)