# Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion: why commitments and retained proceeds differ Commitments and final proceeds are different measurements. This contract can count an observed commitment total even if money is later refunded. Canonical article: https://www.homeincomelab.com/stories/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion Publisher: The Outlook By: The Outlook editorial desk Category: Crypto Analysis as of: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z Decision guide market prices observed: 2026-10-04T09:57:48.323Z Published: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z ## Quick answer “>50M” was quoted at 0.95% on October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. Commitments and final proceeds are different measurements. The linked rules decide the result; this dated quote is not confirmation. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) ## Key takeaways - >50M: 0.95% in the dated research snapshot. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) - Commitments and final proceeds are different measurements. This contract can count an observed commitment total even if money is later refunded. - Distinguish the commitment peak this contract measures from final fundraising proceeds. ## Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion: the question behind the price Commitments and final proceeds are different measurements. This contract can count an observed commitment total even if money is later refunded. In the snapshot checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC, the focus outcome, >50M, was quoted at 0.95%. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) As a comparison, Coinbase explicitly distinguishes requested and final allocations. Legion’s own written condition governs this separate sale. [3](https://help.coinbase.com/en/coinbase/trading-and-funding/buying-selling-or-converting-crypto/token-sales) This contract explicitly preserves a qualifying crossing even if money is later refunded. Our interpretation is that it measures a moment of displayed demand, which need not equal final capital retained by the project or tokens allocated to each participant. ## The displayed commitment peak is the test Uses Legion’s displayed Jumper commitments strictly above the chosen threshold before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. Later refunds do not undo a crossing. Unverifiable, cancelled or rescheduled-past-deadline sales resolve No; an extension only helps before the fixed cutoff. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) The practical implication for >50M is to distinguish necessary conditions from supporting clues. A plausible explanation can help identify what to investigate, but the outcome still turns on evidence satisfying the specified test. Distinguish the commitment peak this contract measures from final fundraising proceeds. ## What the other prices and the trading record reveal The comparison with >60M, quoted at 0.45%, gives a 0.50-percentage-point spread against >50M. That is a difference in quoted expectations, not a measured performance margin. Before treating the outcomes as a complete probability distribution, check whether they are mutually exclusive and whether a None, Other or fallback outcome is included. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) This event recorded $175,592 in cumulative turnover across its life. The captured record contains 2 eligible open constituent contracts. Those are the scope of this snapshot, not a count of independent forecasters. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) ## The next evidence that would change the assessment For this event, watch the official Jumper sale page’s displayed total; evidence of a strict threshold crossing before October 5; the written cancellation and source-unavailability fallbacks. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) The next meaningful update is evidence about the required milestone or measurement. A changed quote by itself does not identify what happened or why. The official Legion sale page displaying commitments strictly above the focus threshold before the cutoff would support Yes. A total equal to the boundary, an unverifiable figure or a sale moved beyond the cutoff would fail the written test. ## A fact worth knowing The open conditions in this snapshot span 0.45% to 0.95%. That 0.50-percentage-point range compares different contract conditions; it is not a confidence interval for one prediction. Source: [Polymarket: Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) ## Weighing the outcome ### Outcome in focus Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale? ### Supporting case The official Legion sale page displaying commitments strictly above the focus threshold before the cutoff would support Yes. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) ### Challenging case A total equal to the boundary, an unverifiable figure or a sale moved beyond the cutoff would fail the written test. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) ### What to watch - The official Jumper sale page’s displayed total. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) - Evidence of a strict threshold crossing before October 5. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) - The written cancellation and source-unavailability fallbacks. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) ### What may already be priced in The observed 0.95% quote is the captured market expectation for >50M. Publicly known conditions alone do not establish that this price is too high or too low. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) ### Assessment Distinguish the commitment peak this contract measures from final fundraising proceeds. ## How the market resolves Uses Legion’s displayed Jumper commitments strictly above the chosen threshold before October 5, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. ET. Later refunds do not undo a crossing. Unverifiable, cancelled or rescheduled-past-deadline sales resolve No; an extension only helps before the fixed cutoff. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) ## Timing and deadline The focus contract uses October 5, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. US Eastern time. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) ## Questions and answers ### Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion The selected condition, >50M, was priced at 0.95% when checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. Commitments and final proceeds are different measurements. This contract can count an observed commitment total even if money is later refunded. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) ### What evidence would be decisive for this particular outcome? The key observations are the official Jumper sale page’s displayed total; evidence of a strict threshold crossing before October 5; the written cancellation and source-unavailability fallbacks. The full linked contract governs exceptions. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) ### Does this market price prove the event will happen? No. 0.95% describes the quoted focus condition in a dated snapshot. It is not a verified forecast, an official result or evidence that all participants independently evaluated the same information. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) ## Related market contracts - [Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) - [Over $60M committed to the Jumper public sale?](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-60m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) ## Market source [View the event on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) For timestamped market prices, see the canonical HTML article. Prices can change independently of this analysis. ## Sources and further reading 1. [Polymarket: Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion) 2. [Polymarket: Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale? — exact resolution rules](https://polymarket.com/event/total-commitments-for-the-jumper-jump-public-sale-on-legion/over-50m-committed-to-the-jumper-public-sale) 3. [Coinbase: Token sale allocation mechanics, contextual comparison](https://help.coinbase.com/en/coinbase/trading-and-funding/buying-selling-or-converting-crypto/token-sales) This is AI-assisted, source-linked explanatory journalism. We distinguish facts from interpretation and revise material errors. [How we work](https://www.homeincomelab.com/methodology) · [Corrections and contact](https://www.homeincomelab.com/contact)