# STRC hits $100 by: the price condition behind the forecast This is a price-touch test for STRC, not a test of its dividend rate or of Bitcoin’s own price. A qualifying high need not be the session’s closing price. Canonical article: https://www.homeincomelab.com/stories/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693 Publisher: The Outlook By: The Outlook editorial desk Category: Crypto Analysis as of: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z Decision guide market prices observed: 2026-10-04T09:57:48.323Z Published: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z ## Quick answer “Will STRC hit $100 by December 31” was quoted at 85.5% on October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. This is a price-touch test for STRC, not a test of its dividend rate or of Bitcoin’s own price. The linked rules decide the result; this dated quote is not confirmation. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) ## Key takeaways - December 31: 85.5% in the dated research snapshot. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) - This is a price-touch test for STRC, not a test of its dividend rate or of Bitcoin’s own price. A qualifying high need not be the session’s closing price. - Evaluate the precise price event and deadline; keep it separate from a general view about the asset’s long-term value. ## STRC hits $100 by: the question behind the price This is a price-touch test for STRC, not a test of its dividend rate or of Bitcoin’s own price. A qualifying high need not be the session’s closing price. In the snapshot checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC, the focus outcome, December 31, was quoted at 85.5%. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) High and close are separate fields. [3](https://developers.binance.com/docs/binance-spot-api-docs/rest-api/market-data-endpoints) A price can reach a level and then reverse. That path may satisfy a touch contract while failing a closing-price test. Our interpretation is that the relevant evidence is the specified exchange record and time window; a broad bullish or bearish story cannot substitute for that measurement. ## The observation matters as much as the target Requires a finalized one-minute STRC high of at least $100 on TradingView within the focus window. If relevant data are missing at the deadline, the ordered fallbacks are Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, then MarketWatch, followed by available data. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) The practical implication for December 31 is to distinguish necessary conditions from supporting clues. A plausible explanation can help identify what to investigate, but the outcome still turns on evidence satisfying the specified test. Evaluate the precise price event and deadline; keep it separate from a general view about the asset’s long-term value. ## What the other prices and the trading record reveal The complementary No quote is 14.5%, against 85.5% for Yes. This shows the balance of quoted expectations for this exact condition. It does not reveal how many independent people hold either view or identify which news caused the price. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) This event recorded $1.19 million in cumulative turnover across its life. The captured record contains 1 eligible open constituent contract. Those are the scope of this snapshot, not a count of independent forecasters. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) ## The next evidence that would change the assessment For this event, watch the exact exchange, pair and candle interval in the rules; whether the test uses a high, low, open or close; the remaining observation window and finalized historical data. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) The next meaningful update is evidence about the required milestone or measurement. A changed quote by itself does not identify what happened or why. Verified prices moving toward the required level, with enough time left in the observation window, would support the scenario. The threshold remaining unvisited before the deadline, or a crossing only on an excluded feed, can defeat the condition. A later reversal does not undo an already qualifying touch. ## A fact worth knowing The latest 24-hour turnover, $11,576, was 0.97% of this event’s lifetime total. Lifetime volume and current trading activity can therefore tell different stories. Source: [Polymarket: STRC hits $100 by… — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) ## Weighing the outcome ### Outcome in focus Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? ### Supporting case Verified prices moving toward the required level, with enough time left in the observation window, would support the scenario. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) ### Challenging case The threshold remaining unvisited before the deadline, or a crossing only on an excluded feed, can defeat the condition. A later reversal does not undo an already qualifying touch. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) ### What to watch - The exact exchange, pair and candle interval in the rules. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) - Whether the test uses a high, low, open or close. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) - The remaining observation window and finalized historical data. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) ### What may already be priced in The observed 85.5% quote is the captured market expectation for December 31. Publicly known conditions alone do not establish that this price is too high or too low. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) ### Assessment Evaluate the precise price event and deadline; keep it separate from a general view about the asset’s long-term value. ## How the market resolves Requires a finalized one-minute STRC high of at least $100 on TradingView within the focus window. If relevant data are missing at the deadline, the ordered fallbacks are Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, then MarketWatch, followed by available data. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) ## Timing and deadline The qualifying observation must occur by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. US Eastern time. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) ## Questions and answers ### STRC hits $100 by? The selected condition, December 31, was priced at 85.5% when checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. This is a price-touch test for STRC, not a test of its dividend rate or of Bitcoin’s own price. A qualifying high need not be the session’s closing price. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) ### What evidence would be decisive for this particular outcome? The key observations are the exact exchange, pair and candle interval in the rules; whether the test uses a high, low, open or close; the remaining observation window and finalized historical data. The full linked contract governs exceptions. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) ### Does this market price prove the event will happen? No. 85.5% describes the quoted focus condition in a dated snapshot. It is not a verified forecast, an official result or evidence that all participants independently evaluated the same information. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) ## Related market contracts - [Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) ## Market source [View the event on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) For timestamped market prices, see the canonical HTML article. Prices can change independently of this analysis. ## Sources and further reading 1. [Polymarket: STRC hits $100 by… — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693) 2. [Polymarket: Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? — exact resolution rules](https://polymarket.com/event/strc-hits-100-by-20260618001620693/will-strc-hit-100-by-december-31-20260618001621119) 3. 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