# Missouri enacts data center moratorium by: the official step that decides the outcome The question is whether Missouri adopts a binding statewide default suspension. A local zoning dispute, removal of a tax benefit or permission for an agency to act later would answer a narrower question. Canonical article: https://www.homeincomelab.com/stories/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929 Publisher: The Outlook By: The Outlook editorial desk Category: Technology Analysis as of: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z Decision guide market prices observed: 2026-10-04T09:57:48.323Z Published: 2026-10-04T10:28:12.452998Z ## Quick answer “Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028” was quoted at 23.5% on October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. The question is whether Missouri adopts a binding statewide default suspension. The linked rules decide the result; this dated quote is not confirmation. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) ## Key takeaways - December 31, 2028: 23.5% in the dated research snapshot. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) - The question is whether Missouri adopts a binding statewide default suspension. A local zoning dispute, removal of a tax benefit or permission for an agency to act later would answer a narrower question. - Judge the documented institutional act rather than the volume of public discussion around it. ## Missouri enacts data center moratorium by: the question behind the price The question is whether Missouri adopts a binding statewide default suspension. A local zoning dispute, removal of a tax benefit or permission for an agency to act later would answer a narrower question. In the snapshot checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC, the focus outcome, December 31, 2028, was quoted at 23.5%. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) Final-passage votes differ from procedural votes. [3](https://www.senate.gov/legislative/votes_new.htm) Our interpretation is that the nearest institutional bottleneck matters more than a general narrative about political momentum. A proposal can receive attention without securing a final vote; a passed measure may still require another chamber, a signature or implementation. Count only the steps that this question actually requires. ## Political support and a completed act differ Requires Missouri to enact a statute or constitutional provision imposing the specified statewide default suspension on new data centers, including all facilities above 100 MW if limited by size. Local measures, incentives-only changes, executive orders and discretionary authorization do not qualify. Enactment, including certified referendum election day, governs rather than later effectiveness. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) The practical implication for December 31, 2028 is to distinguish necessary conditions from supporting clues. A plausible explanation can help identify what to investigate, but the outcome still turns on evidence satisfying the specified test. Judge the documented institutional act rather than the volume of public discussion around it. ## What the other prices and the trading record reveal The comparison with December 31, 2027, quoted at 14.5%, gives a 9.00-percentage-point spread against December 31, 2028. That is a difference in quoted expectations, not a measured performance margin. Before treating the outcomes as a complete probability distribution, check whether they are mutually exclusive and whether a None, Other or fallback outcome is included. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) This event recorded $408,065 in cumulative turnover across its life. The captured record contains 4 eligible open constituent contracts. Those are the scope of this snapshot, not a count of independent forecasters. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) ## The next evidence that would change the assessment For this event, watch the official text and institutional record; the exact vote, signature, publication or implementation required; the deadline and treatment of partial measures or later revisions. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) The next meaningful update is evidence about the required milestone or measurement. A changed quote by itself does not identify what happened or why. The required institution taking the specified formal action within the window would support the outcome. A procedural step, narrower measure or delay beyond the deadline could defeat the contract even if the policy remains politically viable. ## A fact worth knowing The open conditions in this snapshot span 4.5% to 23.5%. That 19.00-percentage-point range compares different contract conditions; it is not a confidence interval for one prediction. Source: [Polymarket: Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...? — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) ## Weighing the outcome ### Outcome in focus Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? ### Supporting case The required institution taking the specified formal action within the window would support the outcome. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) ### Challenging case A procedural step, narrower measure or delay beyond the deadline could defeat the contract even if the policy remains politically viable. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) ### What to watch - The official text and institutional record. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) - The exact vote, signature, publication or implementation required. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) - The deadline and treatment of partial measures or later revisions. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) ### What may already be priced in The observed 23.5% quote is the captured market expectation for December 31, 2028. Publicly known conditions alone do not establish that this price is too high or too low. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) ### Assessment Judge the documented institutional act rather than the volume of public discussion around it. ## How the market resolves Requires Missouri to enact a statute or constitutional provision imposing the specified statewide default suspension on new data centers, including all facilities above 100 MW if limited by size. Local measures, incentives-only changes, executive orders and discretionary authorization do not qualify. Enactment, including certified referendum election day, governs rather than later effectiveness. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) ## Timing and deadline The focus contract uses December 31, 2028, at 11:59 p.m. US Eastern time. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) ## Questions and answers ### Missouri enacts data center moratorium by? The selected condition, December 31, 2028, was priced at 23.5% when checked October 4, 2026 at 09:57 UTC. The question is whether Missouri adopts a binding statewide default suspension. A local zoning dispute, removal of a tax benefit or permission for an agency to act later would answer a narrower question. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) ### What evidence would be decisive for this particular outcome? The key observations are the official text and institutional record; the exact vote, signature, publication or implementation required; the deadline and treatment of partial measures or later revisions. The full linked contract governs exceptions. [2](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) ### Does this market price prove the event will happen? No. 23.5% describes the quoted focus condition in a dated snapshot. It is not a verified forecast, an official result or evidence that all participants independently evaluated the same information. [1](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) ## Related market contracts - [Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) - [Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2027) - [Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-june-30-2027) ## Market source [View the event on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) For timestamped market prices, see the canonical HTML article. Prices can change independently of this analysis. ## Sources and further reading 1. [Polymarket: Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...? — observed event and constituent prices](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929) 2. [Polymarket: Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? — exact resolution rules](https://polymarket.com/event/missouri-enacts-data-center-moratorium-by-20260929/will-missouri-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-2028) 3. [U.S. Senate: Roll-call votes](https://www.senate.gov/legislative/votes_new.htm) This is AI-assisted, source-linked explanatory journalism. We distinguish facts from interpretation and revise material errors. [How we work](https://www.homeincomelab.com/methodology) · [Corrections and contact](https://www.homeincomelab.com/contact)